Home sales generally pick up in the spring-summer season. Is there a housing crisis and will there be a housing crash in 2021? Sales of new single-family houses in October 2020 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 999,000, according to estimates released jointly by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Big metropolitan statistical areas are having the highest foreclosure rates. South Carolina, Nebraska, and Alabama post the highest state foreclosure rates. It went up for most of March, and then it hit this peak and came down rapidly and fast over the course of essentially the end of March, April, and right through to the beginning of May where it bottomed out. Norada Real Estate Investments With supply-constrained and demand boosted, house prices seem to rest on solid foundations in the pandemic. A balanced real estate market is where both the supply and demand for homes and condos in a particular area is roughly equal. A V-shaped recovery can be seen. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fannie-mae-home-sales-will-decline-by-nearly-15-in-2020-due-to-coronavirus-2020-04-15 Studio prices are down year-over-year — and down 6 percent from where they were over the summer Larger rentals, from one-bedroom to three-bedroom units, are more expensive than they were a year ago by 3 to 7 percent. The main culprit for the housing recession: monetary policy. Many buyers need to get into a larger home because they have a growing family. The pace of sales component – which tracks differences in time-on-market – remains well above the pre-COVID baseline at 116.9, a 0.6 point increase over last week, suggesting buyers and sellers are continuing to connect at a faster rate than the pre-Covid period. The homeownership rate of 67.9 percent was 3.8 percentage points higher than the rate in the second quarter of 2019 (64.1 percent) and 2.6 percentage points higher than the rate in the first quarter of 2020 (65.3 percent). And home prices will remain steady or drop just a few percentage points. The housing market predictions were pointing out that all the housing indices would trend upward for the nation as a whole as well as in every state, including the top 100 metro areas. The latest housing market trends show that prices are rising in most parts of the country and most price segments because of the lack of supply. The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) index is designed to measure sentiment the relative level of current and future single-family home sales. 11% feel that current economic conditions are conducive to selling a home. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/affordability-index.asp With today’s mortgage rates at historic lows, you can refinance your mortgage to lower your monthly payments and improve your financial situation. 3% feel it's easy to qualify for a mortgage to buy a home. Had there been no pandemic this year, prices would have normally dropped 1-4% from summer’s price peak by October. This is important since half of all home mortgages are given to Millennials. The median list price per square foot in Ocala is $108, which is lower than the Ocala Metro average of $113. "The CoreLogic Home Price Index registered a 4.3% annual rise in prices through June, which supported an increase in home equity," Frank Nothaft, chief economist, said in a press release. The rate is encouraging when compared to previous months but is still above the highest rate during the Great Recession—10 percent in October 2009. Will sellers choose to go against the usual seasonal decline in new listings? Their forecast suggests that closed home sales reached a recent high in September, and will temporarily slow down in the coming months, falling to pre-pandemic levels by January 2021. NAR's Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), fell 2.2% to 130. The most recovered markets for new listings included San Francisco, San Jose, Boston, Seattle, and Los Angeles; with a new listings growth index between 151 and 178. Improving but continued lack of newly listed homes on the market is driving inventory to all-time lows and continues to push prices up higher into double-digit growth territory for the first time since 2017. They are likely to hold up even if there is a decline in transaction activity in the coming months. A reading over 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good compared with those who view them as poor. A sustained rebound in newly listed homes for sale remains elusive and highly localized but this week’s improvement is encouraging. And condo prices are up too. New listings fell at the start of November and are now down 11.6% compared to last year. However, that may translate to higher costs and delays in receiving building materials, due to high demand, low supply, and 20 percent tariffs on Canadian supply. Pending home sales experienced a minor decline in September after four consecutive months of contract activity growth, according to the National Association of Realtors®. In the third quarter of 2020, the national vacancy rates were 6.4 percent for rental housing and 0.9 percent for homeowner housing. Builder sentiment is at an all-time high and building permits have rebounded from pandemic lows. An affordability index of 100 would mean that the average person could afford the average home. The payment deferral option allows borrowers, who can return to making their normal monthly mortgage payment, the ability to repay their missed payments at the time the home is sold, refinanced, or at maturity. The median U.S. rent stood at $1,771 in August, down 0.3% from July, the largest monthly decrease since September 2017, according to the real estate website Zillow. The number of homes for sale fell nearly 16 percent in March 2020, after listings fell 15 percent year over year in February. In the top 10 most recovered markets for the pace of sales, time-on-market is now down 23 percent, on average, year-over-year. The seasonally-adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of October was 278,000. Current-dollar personal income decreased $540.6 billion in the third quarter, in contrast to an increase of $1.45 trillion in the second quarter. That's up from 65.3% of Americans owning their residences in the first quarter of the year and 64.1% in the second quarter of last year. A higher ratio indicates relatively more affordability. The most commonly used indicator in the US and many other countries is the ratio of house prices to incomes or earnings. Not only the housing demand but the supply of new listings has also reached the highest point since the onset of the pandemic. In September, 8.5% of renters (2.82 million households) missed, delayed, or made a reduced payment, while 7.1% (3.37 million homeowners) missed their mortgage payment. All of this adds up to tens of millions of households seeing their income drop, many of them substantially. First of all the mortgage forbearance must end. As the population of millennials is increasing, the demand side of housing remains strong. they are quickly taken out of the market from heavy buyer competition. A lot of new buyers want to purchase a house and while investors have taken a pause. Florida Real Estate Housing Market Forecast 2020 Miami . And jobless benefit applications remain elevated after increasing from last week. The federal government’s shutdown of so-called non-essential businesses put a hold on most real estate transactions. All-cash sales accounted for 18% of transactions in September, unchanged from August but up from 17% in September 2019. This would be the lowest rate since 1991. That was a nearly one percent increase from the prior month and an eight percent increase from a year before. Keep reading for our Florida forecast and predictions for real estate in 2021. In aggregate, rental property owners lost as much as $9.2 billion in third-quarter revenue from missed rent payments. Homes for sale in October were scooped up more quickly than last year, as pent-up buyer demand continues to spill over the fall season. In either case, the overall outlook points to declining rent growth in the short term followed by a gradual period of recovery. Overall, newly listed homes in the largest 50 metros decreased by 5.3% compared to last year, but 34 out of 50 metros saw an improvement in the growth rate of new listings compared to last month. Builder confidence levels have hit successive all-time highs over the past three months. Seventy-one percent of homes sold in September 2020 was on the market for less than a month. If you're wondering what the state of the housing market will be like over the next six months, especially if you're an investor, then here is some good news for you. Before the pandemic hit the nation the supply of new housing was failing to keep up with demand. Low mortgage rates, which have partially fueled this demand, fell even lower. In the first week of August, the index had managed to reach the January baseline for the first time as more sellers re-entered the market but it was a temporary boost in new listings which weakened later in August. However, the housing market forecast should not affect your decision to buy a home. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/15/coronavirus-homebuilder-confidence-takes-biggest-one-month-dive-in-history.html?recirc=taboolainternal, Current avg. While for someone looking to buy a home and then immediately flip it seems a bit difficult because it’s not clear where real-estate prices will go. NEW RESIDENTIAL HOME SALES IN OCTOBER 2020. This suggests that the normal seasonal slowdown in buying activity may finally be taking place in winters. With unusually high buyer interest this late in the homebuying season, buyers continue to move much faster than this time last year to beat out competition and lock in low mortgage rates. The median sales price of new houses sold in October 2020 was $330,600. Individual investors or second-home buyers, who account for many cash sales, purchased 12% of homes in September, a small decline from the 14% figure recorded in both August 2020 and September 2019. The all-virtual event will provide a year-end review and outlook on the post-election real estate market and the economy. The existing-home sales marked a three-month decline in sales (March to May) as a result of the coronavirus outbreak. 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